research/iceage.py

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import random
import datetime
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diffs = [298.04 * 10**12]
hashpower = diffs[0] / 14.6
times = [1493155305]
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for i in range(3566076, 6010000):
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blocktime = random.expovariate(hashpower / diffs[-1])
adjfac = max(1 - int(blocktime / 10), -99) / 2048.
newdiff = diffs[-1] * (1 + adjfac)
if i > 200000:
newdiff += 2 ** ((i - 200000) // 100000)
diffs.append(newdiff)
times.append(times[-1] + blocktime)
if i % 10000 == 0:
print 'Block %d, approx ETH supply %d, time %r blocktime %.2f' % \
(i, 60102216 * 1.199 + 5.3 * i, datetime.datetime.utcfromtimestamp(times[-1]).isoformat().replace('T',' '), diffs[-1] / hashpower)
# print int(adjfac * 2048)