3 Commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
Marcin Pawlowski
525d081a3c
Keep the deployed rule as the default; make the proposal an explicit arm
I had planned to flip uncle_window_anchor's default to "parent" so new configs
would measure the proposed design by default. Tried it, and it breaks a
documented guarantee: key() appends the anchor only when it is not "uncle", so
with "parent" as the default an --old run's key is no longer byte-identical to
the pre-redesign key and --old stops bit-reproducing historical runs (sec 9).
o.key() == o._base_key() fails outright.

Reverted, and on reflection the default was wrong for a second reason anyway.
The report's job is to describe the protocol as deployed and to RECOMMEND
changes; the default should therefore be the deployed rule, with the proposal
as an explicit arm. That is exactly the convention fixed_point already follows
(default exact f = the analysis convention, explicit True = spec-faithful).
Both reasons are recorded on the field.

To make the distinction visible rather than implicit, the spec-as-is studies
now pin uncle_window_anchor: uncle explicitly -- spec_point.py, spec_jitter.py
and the three spec-point-*.yaml configs answer "what does the DEPLOYED chain
do", so they must not drift onto a proposal if a default ever moves.

Adds uncle_window_anchor as a sweep axis (SweepConfig field plus _SWEEP_AXES),
and configs/absorption-window-anchor.yaml: the sec 3.4 absorption sweep re-run
under both anchors at three delays. That study is the one that can move a
recommendation -- the W >= 7/f floor was measured against the uncle gap, and the
parent gap runs about one block-interval longer, so the floor should sit higher
and the margin behind W = 10/f shrink.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-07 17:53:47 +02:00
Marcin Pawlowski
abf2c86285
Make the fork-loss validation stand alone
The results document was written as a reply to a briefing note that will not be
circulated, so it depended on a file no reader would have -- and linked to one
that was never committed, so the link was dead on GitHub regardless.

Rewritten to be self-contained: it now states what the added spec section
claims, what was measured, and the verdict, without reference to the brief.
The six claims and six experiments are stated in its own terms rather than by
the brief's C-numbers and E-numbers, and it carries its own reproduction table
mapping each section to the config or script and run directory behind it.
Renamed fork-loss-validation.md accordingly.

The configs and scripts written for these experiments carried the same
dependency in their header comments ("Handoff E5", "Claim C2"); those now
describe what they measure directly.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-07 11:59:37 +02:00
Marcin Pawlowski
c202ad9c17
Add deep_orphan_share: the structural observable behind the first-fork cost
E5 needs to watch whether per-recipient delay variance manufactures the
depth->=2 forks the countable rule cannot reach, and no recorded metric measured
that. p_ref conflates "unreachable by construction" with "eligible but never
picked up" -- the distinction that turned out to be the whole answer to item 5 --
and deep_ref_share is 0 by construction under the countable model, since the
proposer's candidate filter drops deep-fork blocks before any reference to one
is proposed. deep_orphan_share is the fraction of in-window orphans sitting
below the first block of their fork, computed from the depth array fork_stats
already builds.

Also fixes a splat-unpack in test_selfish_engine that silently re-bound to the
wrong quantities when fork_stats grew this field (it read deep_orphan_share as
p_ref_honest). fork_stats has now gained a field twice; both call sites unpack
by position explicitly.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-07 11:59:37 +02:00